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2024-12-13 22:43:49

Guotai Junan expects Hong Kong stocks to fluctuate upward in an N-shaped pattern next year to explore domestic demand and improve investment opportunities. Chen Ximiao, chief analyst of Guotai Junan's overseas strategy, said that looking forward to 2025, the disturbance factors in the Hong Kong stock market from the external environment will continue, and the pace of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve under overseas inflation, policy restrictions in areas such as strong US dollar and tariffs, and game friction among big countries will continue. However, the domestic policy thinking is clear, economic expectations are expected to stabilize under the financial impetus, and the profitability of molecular enterprises will improve, and the industrial chain will be able to cope with it. She said that in 2025, the sensitivity of the Hong Kong stock market to external shocks is expected to decline, and more attention should be paid to returning to its own logic. For the trend of Hong Kong stocks in 2025, it is expected to be dominated by the upward pattern of N-shaped shocks, and there are many opportunities for flexibility during the stage. In 2025, we should still actively look for the structure, and focus on the barbell strategy to shift the weight of the two ends. We need to pay more attention to the configuration rhythm and pay attention to the repair opportunities of some domestic products.Will the air ticket price in the United States rise in November? Goldman Sachs and Bank of America have their own opinions. Due to the rising cost of housing, insurance and medical services, the core inflation rate in the United States has remained high. Second-hand car prices may rise due to the rebound of auction prices, but economists are still divided on whether the increase in air ticket prices will become a reality. Goldman Sachs predicts that air ticket prices will increase by 1% month-on-month, reflecting a strong potential pricing trend. Bank of America, on the other hand, said, "We expect the air ticket price to drop by 1% month-on-month, which will change the contribution rate of core inflation from +3 basis points to -1 basis point. Due to the decline in air ticket prices, the monthly core inflation rate will drop to 0.2%, but the volatility of this category is still very large. "The founder of Zhou Heiya responded that he was injured: Everyone must buy a regular brand in a regular place. On December 10th, Zhou Fuyu, the founder of Zhou Heiya, sent a video saying that he was injured in an explosion while boiling water in an outdoor magnetic furnace a few days ago, and then went to the hospital for treatment. He also thanked the netizens for their concern. He said in the video that he hopes to arouse everyone's vigilance and attention, and it may be safer to buy a regular brand of magnetic furnace in a regular place.


The Syrian opposition and Kurdish armed forces reached a ceasefire agreement in northern Syria. The reporter was informed that in the early morning of 11th local time, Mazlum Abdi, commander of the Syrian Kurdish armed forces "Syrian Democratic Army" supported by the United States, said that under the mediation of the United States, "Syrian Democratic Army" had reached a ceasefire agreement with the Turkish-supported Syrian opposition armed forces "Syrian National Army" in Mambiji, northern Syria. The "Syrian National Army" has not confirmed this news. The "Syrian National Army" supported by Turkey has launched an offensive in Mambiji near the Turkish border in northern Syria in recent days. According to Turkish media reports, the Syrian National Army took control of Manbiji on the 9th. (CCTV News)Ma Ying-jeou will lead the students of "Dajiu Academy" to visit the mainland. Xiao Xucen, CEO of Ma Ying-jeou Foundation, said today (11th) that Ma Ying-jeou will lead the students of "Dajiu Academy" to visit the mainland from December 18th to 26th at the invitation of the mainland. (Looking at the Taiwan Strait)Business community: The melamine market with insufficient demand is mainly weak and volatile. According to the commodity market analysis system of business community, the price of melamine is weak and volatile recently. As of December 11th, the benchmark price of melamine in the business community was 6,412.5 yuan/ton, which was 0.12% lower than 6,420 yuan/ton at the beginning of this month. This week, the overall price of melamine showed a stable trend, although there were small fluctuations, but there was no sharp rise or fall. This week, the production capacity of the melamine industry remained relatively stable, and there was no large-scale increase or decrease in production, which helped to maintain the smooth operation of the market. Some melamine production enterprises may adjust their inventory to cope with the fluctuation of raw material prices, thus stabilizing the market price to some extent. This week, the demand for melamine in downstream industries such as plates and coatings remained stable, and there was no obvious increase or decrease, which supported the melamine market to some extent. In the future, enterprises need to pay close attention to market dynamics and policy changes and formulate reasonable business strategies to deal with potential market risks.


ZTE Commercial: Pay close attention to the trend category, and will cooperate with the second-yuan brand at a suitable opportunity in the future. On December 10, ZTE Commercial said that the company's property leasing mainly includes two parts: one is the leasing operation of catering in the business premises; The second is the lease operation of business office. At present, the rental rate of writing room is about 95%, and the rental rate of catering industry is over 98%. At the same time, the company pays close attention to the trend category, and has been communicating with the secondary brand, and will cooperate with such brands at suitable opportunities in the future. In addition, the company will build a unique IP of the dinosaur museum.Fosun's tourism culture premium is about 95%. Privatization resumed on December 11, and Fosun's tourism culture (01992) was announced. The company's shares resumed trading at 9: 00 am on December 11, 2024. Fosun's tourism culture plan was privatized by agreement and its listing status was revoked. The board of directors proposed to buy back shares at a price of HK$ 7.80 per share, which was 95% higher than the closing price before suspension.Port-au-Prince Airport in Haiti will resume normal operation. On December 10th, local time, Haitian Aviation Management Committee announced that Toussaint Louvertur International Airport in Port-au-Prince will resume normal operation on the 11th. Toussaint Louverture International Airport, located in Port-au-Prince, Haiti, is the largest airport in the country. In March this year, Haitian gang militants attacked the airport in an attempt to seize control. Since then, the operation of the airport has been blocked, and most airlines have cancelled flights to Haiti. (CCTV News)

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